課程名稱 |
近代大氣科學統計方法 Modern Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences |
開課學期 |
103-1 |
授課對象 |
理學院 大氣科學研究所 |
授課教師 |
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課號 |
AtmSci7048 |
課程識別碼 |
229 M8080 |
班次 |
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學分 |
3 |
全/半年 |
半年 |
必/選修 |
選修 |
上課時間 |
星期三3,4(10:20~12:10)星期五2(9:10~10:00) |
上課地點 |
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備註 |
上課教室:大氣系資訊教室 總人數上限:30人 |
Ceiba 課程網頁 |
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/1031AtmSci7048_1031 |
課程簡介影片 |
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核心能力關聯 |
核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖 |
課程大綱
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課程概述 |
Data statistical analysis is essential to research and application in Atmospheric Sciences. Students of this course will learn step by step various theories and methods of modern statistical analysis which usually be applied in atmospheric sciences. Illustrations selected from papers in the journals of atmospheric sciences will be used. Students will be asked to do homework problems set with Matlab Software.
Topics to be covered:
Hypothesis Testing: Background, parametric approaches, nonparametric tests (classical, resampling, the bootstrap, and permutation)
Forecast Verification: Categorical forecasts, probability forecasts, nonprobabilistic forecasts of fields, verification of ensemble forecasts
Multivariate Analysis: Matrix algebra, principal component analysis, canonical correlation analysis, discrimination and classification, cluster analysis
Bayesian Inference: Bayes’ theorem, Bayesian inference with prior distributions, Bayesian prediction (if time permits)
Artificial Neural Network: Concept of ANN, back-propagation ANN, applications
Genetic Algorithm: An introduction (if time permits)
Homework problem sets will be given on a regular basis.
Suggested textbook: Statistical Methods in the atmospheric sciences, D. Wilks, 2nd edition, Academic Press, 2006
Supplementary books: Probability, Statistics, and Decision-making in the Atmospheric Sciences, Chapter 12. A.H. Murphy and R.W. Katz, Eds., Westview Press, 1985
Bayesian data analysis, A. Gelman, et al., Chapman & Hall, 2004
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課程目標 |
Students will be asked to make themselves familiar with data analysis in Atmospheric Sciences. |
課程要求 |
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預期每週課後學習時數 |
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Office Hours |
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指定閱讀 |
classroom lecture notes |
參考書目 |
1. Wilks,D.,2006: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd
edition, Academic Press.
2. Murphy,A.H. and R.W. Kate Eds,1985:Probability, Statistics, and
Decision-making in the Atmospheric Sciences, Westview Press.
3. Gelman, A. et al., 2004: Bayesian data analysis, Chapman &Hall.
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評量方式 (僅供參考) |
No. |
項目 |
百分比 |
說明 |
1. |
隨堂測驗 |
0% |
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2. |
作業 |
50% |
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3. |
報告 |
30% |
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4. |
參與討論 |
10% |
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5. |
出席 |
10% |
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6. |
期中考 |
0% |
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7. |
期末考 |
0% |
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週次 |
日期 |
單元主題 |
第1週 |
09/17,09/19 |
Review of basic statistics-parametric statistics |
第2週 |
09/24,09/26 |
Review of basic statistics-parametric statistics and non-parametric statistics |
第3週 |
10/01,10/03 |
Review of Basic Statistics- Applications, Statistical Forecasting |
第4週 |
10/08 |
Statistical Forecasting and Forecast Verification,Linear and Non-linear regression |
第5週 |
10/15,10/17 |
Statistical Forecasting and Forecast Verification-Application of Regression Analysis and Forecast Verification. |
第6週 |
10/22,10/24 |
Forecasting Verification, Principal Component Analysis |
第7週 |
10/29, 10/31 |
Factor Analysis |
第8週 |
11/05,11/07 |
Term project briefing |
第9週 |
11/12,11/14 |
Canonical Correlation Analysis |
第10週 |
11/19,11/21 |
Singular Value Decomposition Analysis |
第11週 |
11/26,11/28 |
Cluster Analysis |
第12週 |
12/03,12/05 |
Discriminant Analysis |
第13週 |
12/10/12/12 |
Discriminant Analysis |
第14週 |
12/17,12/19 |
Artificial Neural Network |
第15週 |
12/24,12/26 |
Artificial Neural Network |
第16週 |
12/31,01/02 |
Genetic Algorithm |
第17週 |
01/07/01/09 |
term project presentation |
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